Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 4.364923 5.041192 5.753299 6.555817 7.431850 8.356024 9.401567
2024-12-22 3.339196 4.270654 5.316697 6.564923 8.000418 9.586768 11.459390
2024-12-29 2.774086 3.889370 5.214348 6.872304 8.859519 11.134654 13.905660
2025-01-05 2.328844 3.562721 5.106728 7.121429 9.622597 12.570701 16.252319
2025-01-12 1.931636 3.223718 4.924146 7.231238 10.187444 13.761808 18.322095
2025-01-19 1.557888 2.849811 4.640194 7.164461 10.498001 14.625214 19.994537
2025-01-26 1.323276 2.632202 4.531339 7.298358 11.045211 15.774273 22.023091
2025-02-02 1.127739 2.438778 4.427696 7.416243 11.556927 16.874092 23.997367
2025-02-09 0.900492 2.152344 4.152545 7.263818 11.683985 17.466186 25.326006
2025-02-16 0.714865 1.899704 3.896143 7.109310 11.785459 18.010185 26.586603
2025-02-23 0.592866 1.738310 3.762697 7.118529 12.102684 18.834283 28.212395
2025-03-02 0.471308 1.549767 3.561042 7.003965 12.229181 19.394076 29.490711
2025-03-09 0.423271 1.510460 3.614790 7.295363 12.961090 20.806622 31.943840
2025-03-16 0.348451 1.392323 3.515939 7.335672 13.323150 21.717479 33.743616
2025-03-23 0.319314 1.378295 3.604829 7.682523 14.148134 23.283319 36.445679
2025-03-30 0.285726 1.344431 3.651663 7.958974 14.871440 24.717057 38.986928
2025-04-06 0.241809 1.269478 3.610057 8.081233 15.359440 25.824166 41.095538
2025-04-13 0.189109 1.149215 3.463027 8.010996 15.543606 26.497763 42.614639
2025-04-20 0.160239 1.093726 3.442182 8.156413 16.063066 27.655104 44.810014
2025-04-27 0.134445 1.038235 3.414026 8.284047 16.553187 28.772890 46.958556
2025-05-04 0.097697 0.920187 3.232037 8.119790 16.568563 29.196083 48.139592
2025-05-11 0.068827 0.812515 3.056658 7.953089 16.568917 29.590642 49.278621
2025-05-18 0.052189 0.749601 2.978588 7.963094 16.854411 30.406626 51.017333